The most important factor in the 2020 Democratic presidential primary is also the most unknowable: Electability. Unlike primary voters in every other recent presidential election, Democrats are still so rattled by the 2016 election that they keep telling pollsters they’ll vote for whichever candidate they think has the best chance […] Read more »
Is 31 Biden’s Magic Number?
On this week’s mini-episode, Harry mines the historical archives to assess Joe Biden’s chances of holding on to his frontrunner position. The Forecast with Harry Enten Read more »
‘The Black Vote Is Not Monolithic’: 2020 Democrats Find Split Preferences in South Carolina
Joseph R. Biden Jr. enjoys a sizable advantage with black voters in South Carolina right now, and not just at lunch tables where they discuss candidates over freshly caught shrimp and fried fish. Recent polls have shown him with support from about 50 percent of African-American voters in the state. […] Read more »
Club for Growth poll: Biden’s lead fueled largely by black voters
Club for Growth, a conservative political group, will launch new attack ads against Democratic presidential front-runner Joe Biden targeting his past statements about race that will run during his first debate appearance next week. The decision by Club for Growth to attack Biden is based on internal polling the organization […] Read more »
Joe Biden’s challenge: Sustaining support from black voters
… An average of our CNN polling in late April and late May shows Biden lapping the field among black voters with about 50%. Harris, Sanders and Warren were all between 5% and 10%. Biden’s 40 point lead among black voters was more than double his about 15 point lead […] Read more »
How Will Biden’s Latest Comments Affect His Standing In The Democratic Primary?
Joe Biden’s popularity with black voters is a huge factor in the 2020 Democratic primary. In most state and national polls that show results by race, Biden has big leads over his Democratic rivals among African-American voters. He leads more narrowly, and sometimes trails, among white Democrats. His strong black […] Read more »