Bolstered by a strong economy, Donald Trump reached the highest job approval rating of his career in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll and runs competitively for reelection against four of five possible Democratic contenders. Yet he remains broadly unpopular across personal and professional measures, marking his vulnerabilities in the […] Read more »
How Democratic Leadership Misunderstands Modern Political Risk
… Older, whiter, more social conservative America feels under threat of losing their stamp on the country’s character, racial composition and soul–and they’re right. They’re losing: not only is the country inevitably becoming less white, it is also becoming less religious, and the millennial generation is not only larger than […] Read more »
It all seemed clear after that Harris-Biden moment in Miami. Today, things look muddier.
In the moment and in the hours after, it was must-see TV: a clash between a rising black female senator and a former vice president. Kamala D. Harris won the Democratic debate encounter with Joe Biden and left Miami on a wave of positive reviews. But today, things look a […] Read more »
What to make of differing post-debate polls (Hint: It’s good news for Kamala Harris)
… Polling can sometimes make your head spin. Depending on which poll you looked at post-debate, you find Biden and Harris within the margin of error of each other or Biden more than doubling Harris’ support. Likewise, you could see Sanders in a rather clear second place or in fourth […] Read more »
The most common response when Democrats are asked whom they’d support in 2020? ‘I don’t know.’
… Earlier this week, The Washington Post and our polling partners at ABC News released data on a new poll of the Democratic primary field. Before reading poll respondents a list of candidates from which to choose, we asked a simpler question: Whom do you support? (Well, specifically: “If the […] Read more »
The Most Critical Argument Democrats Will Have in 2020
The battle over health care is emerging as the most consequential policy choice facing Democrats in the 2020 presidential contest—and it’s one that could play out over time to Joe Biden’s advantage. As last week’s debates demonstrated, Democrats now face a stark choice: a nominee who would establish a government-funded, […] Read more »