This week, the Biden campaign put reporters and political insiders on notice: despite being the longstanding frontrunner in national polls, they are not counting on winning the Iowa caucus. The Biden campaign seems to have taken notice of Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s steady rise in the polls over the summer. In […] Read more »
How Joe Biden attracts both black voters and racially ‘resentful’ voters
By many measures, the two major political parties are moving in opposite directions when it comes to racism and sexism. As researchers have repeatedly documented, anti-black prejudice, anti-immigrant attitudes and sexism divided Democratic and Republican voters in 2016 more sharply than ever before — with people with stronger racist and […] Read more »
Texans on the 2020 Democratic Primary, the Economy, Statewide Leaders, and the Most Important Problems Facing the U.S. and Texas
Former vice president Joe Biden remains in a strong position in the Democratic presidential nomination contest, receiving plurality support among potential Democratic primary voters (24%), with that support coming in equal share from numerous Democratic sub-groups and constituencies. … Between the president, the governor, and the lieutenant governor, Governor Abbott […] Read more »
Why Warren Can’t Count On A ‘Women’s Vote’
So far, Elizabeth Warren’s Democratic primary strategy seems to be working pretty well. She’s been steadily gaining support since the spring, when she was polling around fifth place, and is now neck-and-neck with Bernie Sanders, according to RealClearPolitics’ polling average. Early-state activists think she’s gaining momentum, the most plugged-in subset […] Read more »
Black votes will define electability for Democrats
For all the strategic calculations, sophisticated voter targeting and relentless talk about electability in Iowa and New Hampshire, the Democratic presidential nomination will be determined by a decidedly different group: black voters. African Americans will watch as mostly white voters in the first two contests express preferences and winnow the […] Read more »
Inside the next 5 months of 2020 Democratic campaign, before voters have their say
… The Democratic primary campaign, which remained remarkably stable throughout the summer, is suddenly entering a new period of uncertainty. Many voters say they are just beginning to pay close attention to the race, signaling the potential for a far more volatile campaign season this fall. Interviews with voters, campaign […] Read more »