Five Democratic contenders lead Donald Trump in head-to-head matchups in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, with several widening their advantage since July. Concerns about the economy, which have pushed down the president’s job approval rating, are a factor. CONT. Allison de Jong, ABC News Read more »
O’Rourke running third behind Biden and Warren among Texas Democrats, UT/TT Poll says
Former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke has slipped to third place among Democratic voters in his home state’s presidential primary, behind former Vice President Joe Biden and U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. On the eve of the third round of presidential […] Read more »
How important is candidate age?
All three of the presidential candidates now leading the Democratic primary field are 70 years of age or older. Thirteen of the remaining candidates are 60 or under. These facts have been much written about, but do they matter? … My purpose here is less to explore the impact of […] Read more »
Why it’s back to the future in the Democratic presidential race
The wine track and the beer track are back. The leading candidates in the 2020 Democratic presidential race are assembling coalitions of support through the early primary polling that are reminiscent of the patterns that repeatedly shaped the struggles for the party’s nomination in the last decades of the 20th […] Read more »
Is It Really A Three-Candidate Race?
A much-discussed poll last month showing an effective three-way tie between Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders at the top of the Democratic primary field has since proven to be something of an outlier. But the narrative that the Democratic primary has collapsed down into a three-way race between […] Read more »
Like it or not, Thursday’s debate is about electability
It has become a habit to scold Democratic voters who say electability is their standard in deciding whom to support for their party’s presidential nomination. Forecasts made hours before Election Day three years ago went spectacularly awry, so who can know what will happen in November 2020? Yet like it […] Read more »