Working with the polling firm YouGov, CBS News has been conducting a tracking poll of support for candidates for the Democratic 2020 presidential nomination in early-voting states. In other words, the pollsters go back to the states over and over to gauge support — and, in fact, they go back […] Read more »
Warren’s Rise Hasn’t Come At Biden’s Expense
… I’m not going to give you one of those grandiose overviews of the Democratic primary. Maybe we’ll be more in the mood for one after this week’s debate. Nope, I just want to make a narrower point: Joe Biden is still doing reasonably well in the polls. Elizabeth Warren’s […] Read more »
Will age be a major factor in determining the Democratic nominee?
FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver looks at what polling says about the impact of age on the 2020 election. This Week, ABC News Read more »
How ‘White Guilt’ in the Age of Trump Shapes the Democratic Primary
… For years, prospective Democratic nominees came to Iowa to talk ethanol and pork subsidies and saved any rhetoric about the injustice of racial profiling for crowds in South Carolina and Nevada — the only early voting states where black and Latino voters made up a significant portion of the […] Read more »
CBS News Battleground Tracker: Warren extends lead across early states, New Hampshire and draws even with Biden in Iowa
Early-state Democratic voters say President Trump’s allegations against Joe Biden have not affected their views of Biden and largely think they aren’t true. Even so, it’s Elizabeth Warren who continues to draw support from Democrats. She has extended the aggregate lead she had in this poll last month across the […] Read more »
Why it’s Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren and then everybody else
… Right now, there’s little doubt that Biden and Warren are the top tier in the Democratic primary fight. With the exception of Sanders, no one is even close to Biden and Warren nationally. The question now is how likely are we to be looking at the potential nominee when […] Read more »