Democrats are picking a nominee based on the factor they’re worst at evaluating

The incident that served as the best predictor of the 2020 Democratic presidential primary actually happened in 2011. That October, then-Gov. Rick Perry (R-Tex.) was leading the Republican field as the party tried to identify a candidate who could beat incumbent President Barack Obama. In a Washington Post-ABC News poll, […] Read more »

Do or die: Why Nevada and South Carolina are now crucial in the race for the White House

Now that the first two contests for the Democratic nomination are over, it’s time to take stock of where the race is and where it might be going. The two Nevada surveys conducted within the past week give Sen. Bernie Sanders an average of 30 percent support, and a 14-point […] Read more »

Five things we can say based on the latest polling about the Democratic race

A trio of national polls conducted after the New Hampshire primary have provided a lot of fresh data that gives us a sense of how Democrats view their choices for president. Here are five of the most interesting findings from those polls. CONT. Emily Guskin & Scott Clement, Washington Post Read more »

Sanders Gains in Post-New Hampshire Polling

Senator Bernie Sanders has improved his standing in national polls since his victory in the New Hampshire primary, raising the possibility that he could amass a commanding or even insurmountable delegate lead on Super Tuesday in two weeks. CONT. Nate Cohn, New York Times Read more »

Bloomberg camp’s “dire” warning: Sanders soon unstoppable

Mike Bloomberg’s campaign is sounding the alarm that Bernie Sanders will soon amass an unsurmountable delegate lead if the Democratic field stays split — and took the extraordinary step of suggesting laggards should drop out. CONT. Mike Allen, Axios Read more »

Sanders and Bloomberg rise, Biden falls, with sharp shifts in views of electability

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has soared and former Vice President Joe Biden has crashed in national preference for the Democratic nomination for president, while the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary helped to clear some running room for a candidate who’s not yet been on the ballot: former New York […] Read more »