It was a debate that viewers said brought clarity, but in which most viewers said the candidates spent more time criticizing each other than making the case for themselves. And Democratic debate viewers said national front-runner Bernie Sanders impressed them the most of any candidate, followed closely by Joe Biden […] Read more »
NBC News poll: Biden holds narrow lead over Sanders in South Carolina
Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., are locked in a tight contest in South Carolina, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll ahead of the state’s Feb. 29 Democratic primary. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »
Some candidates do better than the polls and others worse. We break it down.
Pre-election polls are more important this primary election cycle than ever before. Last week, Michael Bloomberg was given a place on the debate stage in Las Vegas because of his rising support in pre-election polls. Polls provide more than just interesting talking points — they can have direct consequences for […] Read more »
Biden lost his ‘electable’ claim. That’s why black votes are up for grabs again.
… The lesson to take from what we know about why black voting is steadfastly Democratic in general elections, and to apply to the primaries, is that candidates seeking to consolidate bloc-like support from black voters have a twofold job. First, without party identification as a shortcut for political decision-making, […] Read more »
Why Trump is gloating about Nevada
Bernie Sanders is for real, his opposition is fractured, and President Trump is delighted to play the Democrats against one another. … A key test for Sanders will come on Super Tuesday in Texas, where Latinos rejected him in 2016 for Clinton. But here is the dilemma for the divided […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders Is The Front-Runner
With 60 percent of precincts reporting in Nevada, it’s time for us to turn our 2020 primary forecast back on, as we think the results we have are pretty representative and the topline picture appears set. Sen. Bernie Sanders won, and he won big. … That voting will end without […] Read more »