At Mike Bloomberg’s midtown Manhattan campaign headquarters, a team of pollsters and analysts churned out multiple tranches of data each day on the state of the Democratic race. The sophisticated data operation was supposed to be the candidate’s not-so-secret weapon, giving Bloomberg an almost real-time look at voters’ preferences in […] Read more »
How Democrats Win In 2020
… With the biggest single day of the primaries behind us, pundits, politicos, and voters have begun to make sense of why exactly Joe Biden won big. According to Rachel Bitecofer of the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University, the answer is that a critical mass of […] Read more »
Why Biden Is Now A Big Favorite
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast’s “Model Talk,” Nate Silver explains why the Democratic primary forecast shifted significantly in Biden’s favor this week. He also discusses changes he’s made to the model and why a comeback will be so challenging for the Sanders campaign. FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Super Tuesday and Beyond
Joe Biden, the one-time frontrunner turned underdog is now the frontrunner again. While Bernie Sanders, the one-time underdog turned frontrunner, is once again in the fight for his political survival. CONT. Politics with Amy Walter Read more »
Poll Hub: This is Getting Intense
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we’re digging deep into the data with The Marist Poll’s Director of Data Management and Technology, Stephanie Calvano. What can we learn from Super Tuesday exit polls? What does that information mean for the next round of Democratic primary states, and why do […] Read more »
Why Warren Supporters Aren’t a Lock to Get Behind Sanders
Throughout the 2020 presidential race, Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders have seemed like reluctant foes. … But Ms. Warren’s pool of voters, who are casting for an alternative after she dropped out of the Democratic race on Thursday, generally doesn’t look like Mr. Sanders’s base. There is reason to […] Read more »