Voters are less than six months away from the election between President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden. Neither candidate is likely to emerge with a landslide victory, as it is clear that the race is far from over. Though one could argue that Biden holds an advantage, given […] Read more »
State polls suggest Biden has a clear national lead
… One of the big questions when we look at national polls is whether or not they’re an accurate representation of what is going on at the state level. One of the easiest ways to check is to compare state poll results to the past presidential vote in a given […] Read more »
Joe Biden needs black voters to win the presidency. And Covid-19 is making them even harder to reach
… Black voters form the backbone of the Democratic Party’s voter base: 93% of African Americans backed President Barack Obama’s reelection in 2012. And this year, black voters in South Carolina helped propel Biden to a landslide victory in the state’s primary, resuscitating his once-struggling campaign and putting him on […] Read more »
Eye of the Storm
With states beginning to reopen and politics beginning to heat up, it feels like we’re in the eye of the storm – past the covid-19 hammer and preparing for the election maelstrom to come. CNN political analyst Harry Enten joins the Horse Race to help us make sense of this […] Read more »
Why Trump’s enthusiasm edge over Biden could matter
Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump in pretty much every single national poll. Yet the same polls find that Trump’s supporters are much more enthusiastic about voting for their candidate than Biden’s supporters are voting for theirs. This split is potentially a good sign for Trump because […] Read more »
Trump, Biden and the Myth of ‘But 2016’
… Just as William Faulkner wrote about how Southerners once daydreamed about the moments before Pickett’s Charge, before Gettysburg turned the tide of the Civil War, some activists seem frozen in the post-midnight hours of Nov. 9, 2016, when Mr. Trump won and time — political time — stopped like […] Read more »