… Biden will no doubt win a large majority of black voters, at least 9 in 10 of whom have voted for Democrats in recent elections. Democratic pollsters said the party should worry less about Trump winning over black men and more about those who are ambivalent about Biden and […] Read more »
The Electoral College won’t save Trump if this keeps up
We’ve learned the lesson multiple times in the last few decades: There is no national presidential election. Candidates can get fewer votes and win, if they win enough states containing a majority of electoral votes. That’s something President Donald Trump may hope happens again, because the national polls have had […] Read more »
On the Rise
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the nation faces heightened racial tensions as demonstrators across the United States make their voices heard following the police-involved death of George Floyd. The NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll has brand new numbers out on how Americans perceive the protests, how local police officers are […] Read more »
Biden Regains 2020 Election Edge As Trump Job Approval Dives Amid Coronavirus Crisis, Protests
President Trump’s coronavirus crisis bounce in popularity collapsed over the past month, the June IBD/TIPP Poll shows. Trump’s job approval is at the lowest point in two years, while Americans now give him negative marks on handling the Covid-19 pandemic. Trump now trails former Vice President Joe Biden in 2020 […] Read more »
Incumbents usually are penalized in times of unrest
… The truth is that we really don’t know how recent events will alter the contours of this year’s presidential race between former Vice President Joe Biden and President Donald Trump. History merely provides a road map with a number of different paths of how the public will react. … […] Read more »
The George Floyd Election
The nationwide protests over the killing of George Floyd will test two competing notions of how voters respond to crises that provoke both anger and grief. Could the demonstrations that have devolved into mayhem, looting and assault lead to victory for President Trump? Will they empower Republicans in the way […] Read more »