Do Campaign Visits Pay Off? Evidence from the 2016 Presidential Election

Key Points• Donald Trump’s rally in Tulsa over the weekend was a reminder of how much his campaign values well-attended rallies.• Trump campaigned more times in more states than Hillary Clinton in 2016.• However, a regression analysis of the 2016 results does not show rallies having a significant impact on […] Read more »

The Democrats’ new loyalists? Suburban women.

For decades, Democrats and Republicans fought election-by-election to win the support of college-educated women. But these women, many of whom live in the nation’s suburbs, are now slipping out of the GOP’s reach. President Barack Obama won only 46 percent of this bloc in 2012; Hillary Clinton won 51 percent […] Read more »

GOP aghast as Trump’s polls sink amid divisive racial rhetoric: ‘It’s been a bad couple weeks’

President Donald Trump is doubling down on a strategy he believes worked to his advantage four years ago: seizing on divisive culture wars and using race-baiting rhetoric as he seeks to fire up his base to give him a second term in office. His GOP allies on Capitol Hill are […] Read more »

Election 2020: How coronavirus is changing politics and public opinion

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly disrupted everyday life, including elections and campaigning. As polls and campaign momentum shift day to day and the country reckons with racism after the killing of George Floyd, candidates are increasingly finding themselves in uncharted waters. … On July 15, Governance Studies at Brookings will […] Read more »

Biden Takes Dominant Lead as Voters Reject Trump on Virus and Race

Joseph R. Biden Jr. has taken a commanding lead over President Trump in the 2020 race, building a wide advantage among women and nonwhite voters and making deep inroads with some traditionally Republican-leaning groups that have shifted away from Mr. Trump following his ineffective response to the coronavirus pandemic, according […] Read more »