It is never a good sign when a candidate is forced to replace his campaign manager less than four months before the election. In Donald Trump’s case, it is an indication that his reelection campaign is in a crisis so pervasive that it threatens to take down not only his […] Read more »
Even if the Polls Are Really Off, Trump Is Still in Trouble
With Joe Biden claiming almost a double-digit lead in national polls, one question still seems to loom over the race: Can we trust the polls after 2016? It’s a good question. But for now, it’s not as important as you might guess. If the election were held today, Mr. Biden […] Read more »
Trump Favorability Drops Among White College-Educated Americans
President Donald Trump’s favorability continues to trend downward. Less than four in ten (38%) Americans hold favorable views of Trump and nearly six in ten (59%) view him unfavorably. Trump’s current favorability is not significantly different from May (41% favorable, 55% unfavorable) or April (42% favorable, 54% unfavorable), but it […] Read more »
Battleground Poll: Diving deep on Joe Biden’s newest supporters
As Donald Trump continues his disastrous mishandling of the coronavirus pandemic and the ensuing economic collapse, responding to the ongoing crises with racism instead of science, many voters have reached their limit on how much more of Trump’s chaos they’re willing to take. Joe Biden has growing momentum in the […] Read more »
More Ways of Looking at the Electoral College Picture
For the last 36 years, the Cook Political Report has handicapped the Electoral College with our ratings chart — placing states and districts in categories of Toss Up, Lean, Likely and Solid Republican/Democrat. … We also realize that there are more dynamic ways to illustrate the electoral path to the […] Read more »
How to read Biden’s massive lead in the polls
There are two ways to read both the state and national polling that shows President Trump significantly behind former vice president Joe Biden. You can plausibly argue that the polls are more unreliable on a statewide basis than in 2016, so they’re all irrelevant. Alternatively, you can take the polls […] Read more »