In the wake of a pandemic and the protests following George Floyd’s death, voters’ support for President Donald Trump has tanked. His average deficit against Joe Biden in national polls has ballooned from 6 percentage points in March to 9 points in July. … But a closer look at the […] Read more »
Right Direction/Wrong Track Numbers Tell the Story of the Election
… Continuity prevails when voters—or at least a critical mass of them—feel good about how the country is doing. Change wins out when a majority of voters are not happy. A chart put together by a Republican campaign consultant, who for obvious reasons would rather remain unnamed, measures this via […] Read more »
What two high-quality polls tell us about the presidential race
… There are a lot of professionally done polls out there, but over the years, I haven’t been hesitant to offer particularly kind words about the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll and the Fox News poll. They tend not to jump around wildly, which is fine with me since, barring […] Read more »
Joe Biden’s advantage over Trump with Black voters is currently smaller than Hillary Clinton’s was
The death of George Floyd and subsequent protests reshaped the presidential race. It brought race relations, racism and police brutality to the forefront. In that time, former Vice President Joe Biden’s advantage over President Donald Trump expanded from about six points to closer to 10 points. Interestingly, however, Trump continues […] Read more »
Why Trump can’t make the election about Biden
Reality counts. That may be the biggest message of the 2020 presidential campaign so far. While President Donald Trump shuffles his campaign staff and more Republicans grumble that he has failed to formulate a clear message and stick to it, a wide array of public and private polls signal that […] Read more »
CNN Poll of Polls: Biden maintains double-digit lead over Trump nationally, with coronavirus a top issue
Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by a significant 12-point margin nationally, according to a CNN Poll of Polls released Monday. Biden garners 52% support among registered voters, with 40% supporting Trump. The poll of polls includes the five most recent national telephone polls measuring the views […] Read more »