… Interviews with a number of North Carolina voters, current and former party officials, political strategists, pollsters and politics watchers paint a picture of a critical battleground that remains within the grasp of an unpopular president, even as the coronavirus continues to ravage the nation’s health and economy and protesters […] Read more »
Trump’s law and order campaign isn’t working
… The big question coming out of the major party conventions would be if they would reset the 2020 campaign. Could Trump’s efforts to refocus the campaign on crime and law and order help him close what has been a consistent deficit? The answer seems to be a no, for […] Read more »
Trump erases Biden’s lead in Texas, as Hegar chips away at Cornyn’s edge in Senate race
Texas remains a toss-up in the presidential race. But Democrat Joe Biden’s modest – and somewhat startling – lead over President Donald Trump has evaporated in the last two months. From a 5-point edge in early July, Biden now lags Trump by 2 points among likely Texas voters in a […] Read more »
Democrats are leading in the polls. That means it’s time for them to panic.
The summer is coming to the close of an even-numbered year and Democrats are up in the polls, which means it’s time for them to freak out about the upcoming election. Democrats are nothing if not a self-doubting bunch, and the 2016 election left such a psychic scar that many […] Read more »
Forecasting the US elections — as of Sept. 6
Right now, our model thinks Joe Biden is very likely to beat Donald Trump in the electoral college. CONT. The Economist The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
In Final Stretch, Biden Defends Lead Against Trump’s Onslaught
… Private polls conducted for both parties during and after their August conventions found the race largely stable but tightening slightly in some states, with Mr. Trump recovering some support from conservative-leaning rural voters who had drifted away over the summer amid the worsening pandemic. Yet Mr. Biden continues to […] Read more »