… The America of the ’40s and ’50s is disappearing, but those who want to hang on to that era — including older whites and their (mostly male) offspring — are not letting it go without a fight. Yes, there have been economic changes that have hurt working-class whites and […] Read more »
How House Republicans won over Biden voters
Since Election Day, there’s been heated debate over whether the results underscored our country’s rampant tribalism, or efforts to win over persuadable voters in the middle actually worked. The short answer is both. President-elect Joe Biden outperformed Hillary Clinton by a small but critical margin in key battleground states, improving […] Read more »
Vote in 2020 shows changing battleground map
The Electoral College ensures that every four years the race for the White House comes down to a few state battlegrounds that ultimately decide the winner. But those battlegrounds can change and in the last five presidential elections they have moved more than people think. This year there were eight […] Read more »
With Trench Warfare Deepening, Parties Face Unsettled Electoral Map
… With 306 Electoral College votes and the most popular votes of any presidential candidate in history, Mr. Biden attained a victory that was paramount to many Democrats, who saw a second Trump term as nothing less than a threat to democracy. Yet on the electoral landscape, both parties find […] Read more »
Mason-Dixon pollster Brad Coker on ‘shy Trump voters,’ polls and the 2020 election
The 2020 presidential election is (mostly) in the books and the political world is once again fiercely debating a familiar question from 2016: What went wrong with public-opinion polls in a number of key battleground states? One poll that came out looking pretty good was the Star Tribune/MPR News/KARE 11 […] Read more »
Election Night Survey: Hidden Trump voters exist, and other key findings
… This election was a referendum on President Trump, and considering the President’s 46%-52% approval score, it did not turn out well for him. While the President scored well with rural voters, evangelicals, lower educated Americans and Hispanic men, his failure to hit his numbers among Independents, especially Independent men, […] Read more »