… Before the election, The Trailer broke down Georgia’s map as part of our “political geography” series, and pointed out that there was enough Democratic growth in the racially diverse and highly educated suburbs of Atlanta to put the state in play. That’s exactly what happened. That’s what Republicans fear […] Read more »
COVID made polls too pro-Biden
Polling error in 2020, while within the historical range of polling error, has caused a lot of heartburn among Democratic strategists, pollsters, and data analysts. We’re still at work understanding the 2020 election’s polling misses, but one theory that looks accurate is that the COVID-19 pandemic caused polls to overstate […] Read more »
Battles over Biden appointments signal a larger struggle over his strategy
The progressive uprising against a wide range of potential Joe Biden administration nominees reflects not only old ideological divisions among Democrats but also a new struggle over how the incoming president should advance his objectives in a closely divided Washington. Many of the centrist potential Biden appointments who have drawn […] Read more »
The Places That Had the Biggest Swings Toward and Against Trump
With most of the slow-to-report votes tallied, we finally have a clearer picture of last month’s presidential results. Despite the high polarization in the country that carried over to the reaction to the results — with 70 percent to 80 percent of Republicans still saying they disbelieve that Joe Biden […] Read more »
The Suburbs Helped Elect Biden. Can They Give Democrats the Senate, Too?
… Mr. Trump lost ground with suburban voters across the country. And particularly in Georgia, where rapidly changing demographics have made it the most racially diverse political battleground in the country, his pitch has been at odds with reality. From the inner suburbs surrounding Atlanta and extending to the traditionally […] Read more »
Why so many people want to believe the election was stolen
A month after the presidential election, President Trump’s claim that the election was rigged to benefit Joe Biden has been debunked by numerous Republican state elections officials. Dozens of lawsuits filed by the Trump campaign and its proxies have been rejected by judges in both state and federal courts. There […] Read more »