The 2020 election produced a record number of people voting and the highest percentage turnout in more than a century. It was an election that cost Donald Trump a second term in the White House and handed the Oval Office to Joe Biden. What changed from 2016 to 2020? The […] Read more »
New 2020 voter data: How Biden won, how Trump kept the race close, and what it tells us about the future
As we saw in 2016 and again in 2020, traditional survey research is finding it harder than it once was to assess presidential elections accurately. Pre-election polls systemically misjudge who is likely to vote, and exit polls conducted as voters leave the voting booths get it wrong as well. Now, […] Read more »
America’s partisan fireworks will be hard for anyone to put out
While July Fourth is the holiday that most directly celebrates Americans’ common heritage, this year it comes as their extreme divides underscore how difficult it has become for any president to set a unified direction for the country. … Taken together, these centrifugal pressures call into question not only the […] Read more »
Why America’s Politics Are Stubbornly Fixed, Despite Momentous Changes
… A Pew Research Center study of the 2020 election results released this past week showed exactly what scale of voter movement is possible in the political climate of the Trump era and its immediate aftermath. The electorate is not entirely frozen, but each little shift in one party’s favor […] Read more »
Yes, Democrats are bickering. But Biden’s wish list is gaining traction
As he pursues his $4-trillion domestic spending wish list, President Biden has had a lot more than Republican opposition to contend with. He has found himself squeezed between two wings of his own party: progressives who want the biggest possible expansion of federal programs and moderates like Sen. Joe Manchin […] Read more »
Biden earns high marks for handling the pandemic, but many Republicans resist vaccination
President Biden has earned high marks for his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, but the government’s effort to vaccinate as many Americans as possible continues to face hurdles, including resistance among people who identify as Republicans, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. … Today, more than 6 in 10 […] Read more »