For people who write about electoral, or “horse race,” politics, few things are more enjoyable than an exciting presidential primary season. Sometimes, both Democrats and Republicans cooperate by holding gripping fights for the party nods (see 2008). Sometimes, however, voters in both parties quickly coalesce around front-runners (see 2000). A […] Read more »
NBC News poll: Nearly 70% of GOP voters stand behind Trump amid indictment, investigations
A whopping two-thirds of Republican primary voters say they stand behind former President Donald Trump and dismiss concerns about his electability, despite his recent criminal arrest and the other legal investigations into his past conduct, a new national NBC News poll finds. That — along with his double-digit lead over […] Read more »
If Biden’s so unpopular, why isn’t any Democrat posing a serious challenge?
President Joe Biden was the toast of Ireland last week, as he was treated to a hero’s welcome in a pageant-laden return to his ancestral home. Meanwhile, back in the USA, Biden is saddled with job approval ratings in the low 40s, a traditional warning sign for any incumbent on […] Read more »
How do Americans feel about a Trump-Biden rematch? ‘Exhaustion’ tops the list.
With President Biden reportedly set to announce his reelection campaign early next week, more Americans say they feel “exhaustion” over the prospect of a 2024 rematch between Biden and his predecessor Donald Trump than any other emotion, according to a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll. The survey of 1,530 U.S. adults, […] Read more »
Most Democrats would support Biden if he wins the nomination
Most adults do not want President Biden to run for a second term. Nearly 3 in 4 do not want him to run again. Among Democrats, 47% would like to see the president run in 2024, up somewhat from 37% who felt the same in a January AP-NORC poll. However, […] Read more »
Leaning Into State Trends: The Northeast and Greater South
J. Miles Coleman, Sabato’s Crystal Ball 2020 presidential election showing the lean of Biden-won states The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »