Joe Biden doesn’t need to be popular to win the 2024 election – he just needs his opponent to be more unpopular. Drew Angerer/Getty Images Charles R. Hunt, Boise State University Commentators were quick to note President Joe Biden’s low job approval and favorability ratings after he announced his long-expected […] Read more »
Americans split on who they’d blame if U.S. defaults, Post-ABC poll finds
A Washington Post-ABC News poll finds Americans divided on who they would blame if the nation’s debt ceiling is not raised and the government goes into default, a potentially devastating outcome that could happen as soon as June 1. The poll finds 39 percent of Americans say they would blame […] Read more »
Blame breaks evenly if government defaults on debt, despite preference for Biden’s position
Americans divide closely on whom they’d blame if the federal government defaults on its debts, even as most align with the Biden administration’s position on how Congress should handle the issue. If default occurs — as Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said Monday could happen by June 1 — 39% in […] Read more »
Red States Need Blue Cities
In red and blue states, Democrats are consolidating their hold on the most economically productive places. Metropolitan areas won by President Joe Biden in 2020 generated more of the total economic output than metros won by Donald Trump in 35 of the 50 states, according to new research by Brookings […] Read more »
There’s a toxic brew of mistrust toward U.S. institutions. It’s got real consequences
… Partisanship and polarization have been on the rise over the last 30 years. There are fewer competitive House districts, largely drawn by Republicans, which has meant more ideological purity in Congress and more hard-line, and, at times, ugly, in-your-face politics. It’s all mixed together to make for a toxic […] Read more »
Leaning Into State Trends: The Midwest and Interior West
Key Points• Both the Midwest and Interior West have states that Joe Biden carried by less than his popular vote margin in 2020.• In the Midwest, Michigan and Wisconsin will likely be prime battlegrounds states next year, although Michigan seems a harder lift for Republicans.• In the Interior West, Arizona’s […] Read more »