More than nine in 10 Americans say they would vote for a presidential candidate nominated by their party who happened to be black, Catholic, Hispanic, Jewish or a woman. Such willingness drops to eight in 10 for candidates who are evangelical Christians or are gays or lesbians. Between six and […] Read more »
The Republican Party is white and Southern. How did that happen?
… With the exception of the short period of Reconstruction after the Civil War, the GOP was notoriously ineffective in the ex-Confederacy. The region was dominated by the Democratic Party from the late 1870s through the second half of the 20th century. Why the shift? Historians and political scientists traditionally […] Read more »
She’s the Next President. Wait, Did You Read That Right?
… Her. It’s a three-letter pronoun that, despite the seemingly endless debate over whether a woman can become president, feels relatively benign. But what if its use, or an unconscious aversion to its use, had some small power to influence voter perception? Could something as simple as a pronoun reflect, […] Read more »
Why Trump Persists
The failure of the American electorate to rise up in opposition to President Trump — whose outrages are well-documented — suggests that voters are less tolerant, less empathetic and less insistent on integrity than many believe. The election of Trump and his first three years in office have revealed a […] Read more »
The Electoral Cases For — And Against — The Four Leading Democrats
In a live recording, the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew debates the electoral cases of the four leading candidates in the Democratic primary. They also discuss the concept of electability and whether voters are biased against voting for a woman for president. Plus, they play a round of “Guess What Americans […] Read more »
More Than 50% of African-Americans Are ‘Very Concerned’ About Paying for Basic Necessities
America is experiencing a booming economy and record unemployment, but not everyone is feeling it. Large majorities of both African-Americans and Hispanics say they’re worried about job security, housing, and being able to pay for education and basic necessities, according to a VICE News-Ipsos poll focused on African-Americans and Hispanics. […] Read more »