In this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the team discusses how public opinion on racism has changed over the past few weeks and how this will affect our politics. FiveThirtyEight The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
California forges a path through America’s racial divide
At a moment of profound national tension over race, California may be lighting a pathway toward greater racial reconciliation as America grows irreversibly more diverse in the years ahead. The California state legislature is moving toward approving legislation this month that would place on the November ballot a referendum to […] Read more »
White evangelicals think Trump is divinely ordained. He’ll do almost anything to keep it that way
Donald Trump’s reelection chances are quite dim without the robust support of his white evangelical base. His electoral college win in 2016 was fueled by white evangelical turnout and the overwhelming number of white evangelicals — 81% — who pulled the lever for him. He cannot afford for the religious […] Read more »
‘Defund the Police’ movement politically fraught
… The data is clear. Only a plurality of Americans support defunding the police. But a majority of Democrats and African Americans do. Will this be a key motivator in the 2020 presidential election? It is shaping up to be. This is good for Trump; bad for Biden. CONT. Clifford […] Read more »
White House divide on Floyd response, as some push Trump for tougher tactics
With less than five months before voters head to the polls, President Donald Trump finds himself in an uncertain position: caught between advisers urging him to calm a country in the grips of a pandemic, economic uncertainty and civil unrest and those who want him to lean into aggressive tactics […] Read more »
The Protests Appear To Be Working
Nationwide protests against police violence have continued around the country for nearly three weeks. Their size and scope evoke the civil rights protests of the 1960s. But can we judge the efficacy of a protest movement by a measure other than its size? And do the current protests seem to […] Read more »