There’s been media speculation over the past week that unrest in places like Kenosha, Wisconsin, and Portland, Oregon, could reshape the presidential race and hurt Democratic nominee Joe Biden. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew discusses why there is not yet evidence to back up these assertions. They also preview Tuesday’s […] Read more »
The dramatic impact the riots are having on 2020
… After George Floyd’s murder on May 25th, there was righteous anger across the political spectrum and not very many answers. The Left attributed the problem to systemic racism and many in both the middle and the Right agreed the problem must be addressed. … Witness the CNN poll (June […] Read more »
A backlash against the protests could turn into a backlash against Trump
Nate Silver discusses whether or not Trump could use a decline in support of recent protests to his advantage. This Week, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
A slip in support for Black Lives Matter?
… In his speech closing out the convention’s final session Thursday night, Trump warned about “mob rule,” building upon a speech he made last week in which he pitched himself as the “only thing standing between the American Dream and total anarchy, madness and chaos.” Despite all of it occurring […] Read more »
Why Democrats are worried about Kenosha
Former Vice President Joe Biden and President Donald Trump both recognize the potential political fallouts if protests in the wake of the Jacob Blake shooting are seen as peaceful or as violent. Biden benefits if they are seen as the former, while Trump is helped if they are seen as […] Read more »
Going Into the Convention, Republicans Focused on ‘Law and Order’
President Trump tonight is expected to put an emphasis on “law and order,” an issue that’s top of mind for Republicans. Heading into the GOP convention, our latest Battleground Tracker polling found Republicans’ top issues after the economy included policing and law enforcement issues, and the recent protests. CONT. Elena […] Read more »