In a Gallup poll conducted shortly after the first round of Democratic debates, Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden continue to enjoy the highest favorability ratings of all major Democratic contenders among the party’s base. Both are viewed favorably by roughly seven in 10 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. CONT. Lydia Saad, […] Read more »
Lanes Are Starting To Emerge In The 2020 Democratic Primary
In the wake of June’s Democratic presidential debate, most polling agrees that former Vice President Joe Biden is still the front-runner (although the size of his lead has taken a hit), followed by a rough three-way tie among Sens. Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. But as we already […] Read more »
What We’ve Gleaned About The Democratic Primary From 6 Months Of Polls
Earlier this year, we published a three-part series on how well primary polls conducted in the calendar year before a presidential election predict the outcome. Our analysis, which covered more than 40 years of primaries, found that early polls are somewhat predictive of who eventually wins the nomination, especially when […] Read more »
Harris and Castro rise among Hispanics after the first Democratic debate
After a robust performance in the first presidential debate, Julián Castro solidified and strengthened his position, while Kamala Harris now stands as the current favorite among Hispanics eligible to vote in the primary elections. In a survey conducted nationwide by Univision News after the first presidential debate, 22 percent of […] Read more »
Anyone But Trump: Key findings from the Univision News national Hispanic voter survey
As 20 Democratic presidential candidates prepare for the initial round of primary debates beginning next week, Univision News announces key findings of its first Hispanic voter survey of the 2020 election cycle. … Commissioned by Univision News and overseen by its newly hired Director of Polling, Dr. Sergio Garcia-Rios, the […] Read more »
Trump’s reelection support is 50-50 in Texas, Biden and O’Rourke lead the Democrats, UT/TT Poll says
Half of the registered voters in Texas would vote to reelect President Donald Trump, but half of them would not, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. … What about the Democratic candidates? Only four have double-digit support among Democratic voters with almost nine months to go before […] Read more »