The huge surge of early voting in Texas’ rapidly growing cities and inner suburbs likely marks the end of unchallenged Republican dominance in America’s second largest state — a seismic shift in the nation’s electoral landscape. Even if President Donald Trump retains enough rural strength to hold Texas in next […] Read more »
It’s A Free-For-All In Iowa
Tomorrow is Election Day, and FiveThirtyEight will be watching competitive races in a number of states. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the governors races in Kentucky and Mississippi and state legislative elections in Virginia. Next, the team takes a look at the latest in […] Read more »
Democrats don’t have a candidate who would beat Trump in Texas today, poll finds
None of the top Democrats seeking the presidential nomination would beat President Donald Trump in Texas in an election held today — and neither would either of the Texas candidates in that race, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. CONT. Ross Ramsey, Texas Tribune Read more »
Tuesday’s Democratic debate could be make or break for these four candidates
Tuesday night’s CNN/The New York Times debate stage will feature a record 12 candidates. It could be the last debate appearance for up to 33% of them. Former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro, Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar and former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke are […] Read more »
The surprising fluidity of the 2020 Democratic field
Working with the polling firm YouGov, CBS News has been conducting a tracking poll of support for candidates for the Democratic 2020 presidential nomination in early-voting states. In other words, the pollsters go back to the states over and over to gauge support — and, in fact, they go back […] Read more »
Why Populist Democrats Have Gained the Upper Hand in the 2020 Race
With a crucial debate looming next week in the Democratic presidential primary, the party’s populist wing appears increasingly in control of the race — rising in the polls, stocked with cash and with only a wounded leading candidate, Joseph R. Biden Jr., standing in its way. … Anna Greenberg, a […] Read more »