… Biden’s candidacy is perplexing to analysts because he’s clearly a front-runner (i.e. he leads in every poll), but he’s not running away with the primary. This is true nationally (where he’s hovered around 30%) and is especially the case in Iowa, where he’s polling lower. Based solely on the […] Read more »
The Iowa Caucus Is a Frontrunners’ Nightmare
This week was the start of the Iowa State Fair. Besides being one of the few places in America where you can eat fried Oreos AND watch a baby pig being born, the Iowa State Fair is also the unofficial kick-off to campaign season in the state. Presidential candidates swarm […] Read more »
Polls Since The Second Debate Show Kamala Harris Slipping
Polls since last week’s Democratic debate haven’t shown the sort of dramatic swings that we saw after Round 1 — but they do show some shifts. In particular, they show further downward movement for Kamala Harris, who had already lost much of her bounce following the first debate. CONT. Nate […] Read more »
Democrats still at square one
With two debates down and too many more still to go, Democrats are pretty much where they were before the June debates in Miami and the July debates in Detroit. That shouldn’t surprise you. The Iowa caucuses are still almost six months away, and voters are just starting to tune […] Read more »
Biden Has 13-Point Lead Over Trump As President’s Job Approval Slides
Joe Biden has a big lead over President Donald Trump, the August IBD/TIPP Poll showed. The other top three Democratic presidential contenders enjoyed smaller 2020 election leads over the GOP incumbent. Meanwhile, Trump’s job approval fell to a six-month-low 40% in August. CONT. Jed Graham, Investor’s Business Daily Read more »
Policy Fissures in the Debates Aren’t What Divide Voters
Hot-button ideological issues took center stage in last week’s Democratic debates, as candidates fought over things like “Medicare for all” and the decriminalization of illegal border crossings. But while Democratic candidates might be divided by ideology and policy, Democratic voters mostly are not. The Democratic electorate is not clearly or […] Read more »