Trump Stuck, Warren Surges

There seemed to be just two topics of conversation in terms of presidential politics this past weekend. First was the impact of accusations that President Trump suggested or pressured Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to investigate Joe Biden’s son Hunter’s business relationships in that country. The second was Elizabeth Warren pulling […] Read more »

Warren and Sanders are similar. Only one seems to know what it’ll take to win.

… Sanders and Warren have clear differences in style, emphasis and attitude toward our political systems that have helped them cultivate different, rather than interchangeable, bases of support in the 2020 primary. If either progressive wants to win in 2020, they need to do more than try to pick up […] Read more »

Emerging 2020 dynamics: Combined data set

Democracy Corps has conducted two national polls in July and September to create a data base large enough to talk about different segments of the Republican Party, but it also provides us with a deep look at the emerging presidential race. (The data base includes 2,800 interviews.) We are also […] Read more »

Warren Vaults into the Lead in California’s Democratic Presidential Primary

Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren has pulled into the lead in California among voters likely to be participating in California’s March Democratic presidential primary. The latest Berkeley IGS Poll finds Warren to be the choice of 29% of likely voters, up eleven points from June. While support for Warren has grown […] Read more »

Democrats are stuck in a doom loop of premature polling

Democratic voters are stuck in a self-destructive loop. The loop begins and ends with polls. Pollsters know that Democrats want to know who is the strongest candidate against President Donald Trump, so they conduct a lot of head-to-head polls matching Trump up against various contenders. The polls show that the […] Read more »