Fox News Poll: Biden has edge over Dems in Nevada, bests Trump by 7 points

Democrats’ strong desire for a candidate who can defeat President Trump gives Joe Biden the edge in the nomination race, while Hispanic voters help both Biden and Bernie Sanders top Trump in hypothetical 2020 matchups. That’s according to a Fox News Poll of Nevada voters. CONT. Dana Blanton, Fox News Read more »

It May Be a Good Idea for Democratic Front-Runners Not to Look Back

Elizabeth Warren’s seemingly inexorable rise and Joe Biden’s dogged resilience have been the two major stories of the Democratic primary so far. Over the next and more intense period of campaigning in the early states, the story could be very different. The two will probably have to confront their vulnerabilities […] Read more »

The picture in Iowa just got muddier, not clearer

For all of the legitimate (and occasionally overblown) hand-wringing about “horse race” coverage of national politics, it is a lamentable fact that horse racing generally offers a good analogy for polling. … On Tuesday afternoon, Monmouth University gave us a new snapshot of the race for the Democratic presidential nomination […] Read more »

Running For President May Make You More Unpopular In Your Home State

Over the course of this election cycle so far, 25 major presidential candidates — by FiveThirtyEight’s definition — have entered the race for the Democratic nomination. That gobsmacking number sparked criticism that there were perverse incentives to run for president even if a candidate plainly had no shot at winning […] Read more »

Progressives are going to have to pick: Sanders or Warren?

Only a few months from now, populist Democratic progressives around the country hoping to elect one of their own to the White House will need to choose between Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren. Do they back the angry Democratic socialist, or the feisty, anti-corporate populist who […] Read more »