… Candidate Trump showed that so-called electability is no match for electricity and a relentless focus on the electoral college. … Four years later, Democratic candidates, party leaders and primary voters have been seduced into the trap of focusing on electability. Multiple polls show that Democrats value “beating Donald Trump” […] Read more »
What Polling Tells Us About Bernie Sanders’s Chances
At this point in 2016, Bernie Sanders was competitive in Iowa but had no clear path to the nomination. Four years later, he finds himself in an enviable position: rising in the polls, enjoying the most resources, and facing relatively few attacks from his campaign rivals. CONT. Nate Cohn, New […] Read more »
CNN poll: Bernie Sanders surges to join Biden atop Democratic presidential pack
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has improved his standing in the national Democratic race for president, joining former Vice President Joe Biden in a two-person top tier above the rest of the field, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. The poll marks the first time Biden has not […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama want to stop Bernie Sanders. Can they actually do it?
… Polls show that rank-and-file Democrats generally like Sanders and wouldn’t be disappointed if he were the nominee. And superdelegates, who don’t vote until the second ballot at the convention, might have trouble throwing the nomination to someone else if Sanders clearly had the most votes and delegates. History doesn’t […] Read more »
The Electoral Cases For — And Against — The Four Leading Democrats
In a live recording, the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew debates the electoral cases of the four leading candidates in the Democratic primary. They also discuss the concept of electability and whether voters are biased against voting for a woman for president. Plus, they play a round of “Guess What Americans […] Read more »
Iowa: Biden Leads and Rural Issues Fuel Klobuchar Movement
Focus on Rural America Co-Founders former Iowa Lt. Gov Patty Judge and Jeff Link released the results of their latest poll on a conference call with reporters Monday morning. This is the 6th quarterly poll from Focus on Rural America which began tracking presidential preferences and issues in September of […] Read more »