… The economy invariably becomes a political target when there is no White House incumbent running for re-election. The opposition party has to talk about how bad things are and its ideas for change. The incumbent party, in this case the Democrats, must be more nuanced, striving to avoid getting […] Read more »
How Trump has hogged the presidential campaign conversation
How is Donald Trump’s candidacy affecting the public conversation — which, in turn, influences how campaigners compete? … To understand what public conversation the current presidential campaign has kicked off, we looked closely at the talk prompted by 20 presidential candidacy announcements between March 15 and July 20, 2015. … […] Read more »
Are the polls skewed?
Donald Trump is on top in Iowa, Ben Carson is hot on his heels, and Bernie Sanders has flown past Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire. That’s the snapshot polls captured this week. It’s a far cry from the Bush-Clinton horse race that many had predicted going into the 2016 campaign […] Read more »
Is Hillary Clinton Really in Danger of Losing the Primary?
Bernie Sanders is said to be surging, Joe Biden is considering jumping in the race, and Hillary Rodham Clinton’s unfavorable ratings are the worst they’ve been in her 23-plus years in national politics — lower than they were in 2007 or 2008. Whether you call it wishful thinking or a […] Read more »
It’s not just Trump: Voter anger fuels outsider candidates
This has become the summer of the political outsider, as a cast of interlopers upend and dominate the presidential nominating process in both parties. The surging candidacies of Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders are fueled by people’s anger with the status quo and desire for authenticity in political leaders. Across […] Read more »
CNN/ORC Poll: Clinton remains strong in Iowa
The first CNN/ORC poll of likely Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa finds Hillary Clinton firmly in the lead in the state that kicks off the nation’s nominating contests, holding a 50% to 31% lead over upstart Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders. Vice President Joe Biden, who has yet to decide whether to […] Read more »