The Democratic Party, whose presidential race has been mostly overshadowed by Donald Trump and the Republicans, heads into the fall with its nomination contest far less certain than it once appeared and braced for a series of events that will have a significant effect on Hillary Rodham Clinton’s campaign. Clinton’s […] Read more »
Without Declaring His Candidacy, Biden Places Third in Iowa
Vice President Joe Biden would enter Iowa in a distant third place among Democrats if he decides to run for president, but his rising popularity, combined with signs of trouble for Hillary Clinton, means the early caucus state may be less of an obstacle to Biden this time than it […] Read more »
Winners and Losers From Summer of Trump
Like a blockbuster movie, Donald Trump has dominated the summer. But, plenty of other candidates have been on the move too; some went up while others saw their fortunes dip. As we countdown to Labor Day and the traditional “end of the summer,” here’s a quick look at how the […] Read more »
The Primary Map Still Favors Clinton
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has been under siege for months as additional revelations and developments regarding her use of a private email account continue to drip out. Last week, the Crystal Ball explored what might happen should Clinton drop out of the Democratic primary or, as the rumors […] Read more »
2016 Outsiders and the Economic Roots of Voter Anger
The conventional wisdom holds that those “outsider” presidential candidates in both parties who are resonating with angry voters–Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina, and Ted Cruz (who casts himself as an outsider)–will eventually give way to more “electable” candidates. But the more those candidates rise in the polls, […] Read more »
Campaign Challenges Aside, Clinton’s Image With Dems Stable
Democrats’ overall opinions of the major Democratic contenders for president have changed little despite six eventful weeks of campaigning. Hillary Clinton remains the best liked among her party faithful. She enjoys a net favorable score of +60, which is essentially where she stood in July. Bernie Sanders is still the […] Read more »