Bernie Sanders’s surge doesn’t mean the Democratic race is wide open. Here’s why.

… Even setting aside Barack Obama’s unique potential to appeal to African American voters as a historic racial figure, this frequent comparison of Senator Obama in 2007 and Senator Sanders in 2015 is deeply flawed. Just looking at the data from eight years ago shows how much better positioned Barack […] Read more »

CBS/NYT poll: Hillary Clinton’s lead over Bernie Sanders cut by half

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton continues to hold a double-digit lead in the Democratic race for the nomination nationally, but Sen. Bernie Sanders is gaining on her. … As the vice president weighs a potential run for president, 57 percent of Democratic primary voters would like to see him […] Read more »

The ‘Scarlet P’

… This is one of the few times when the leaders, top strategists, and establishments of both parties are panicky, and for good reason. … Some of the best minds in both parties are now questioning their own competence, wondering whether they are losing their touch, having missed an upheaval […] Read more »

Clinton’s support erodes sharply among Democratic women

Hillary Rodham Clinton is suffering a rapid erosion of support among Democratic women — the voters long presumed to be the bedrock in her bid to become the nation’s first female president. The numbers in a new Washington Post-ABC News poll are an alarm siren: Where 71 percent of Democratic-leaning […] Read more »

Trump, Carson top GOP race; Clinton leads Dems but support drops

Two non-politicians, businessman Donald Trump and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, dominate the contest for the Republican nomination, together accounting for more than half of the potential vote as support for traditional politicians continues to decline, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. In the contest for the Democratic nomination, […] Read more »