With less than a year to go before the election, FiveThirtyEight’s staff members took a detailed look at seven issues we cover regularly, examining the positions of the presidential candidates and suggesting developments likely to arise before the voting takes place. CONT. FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Democrats 2016: Clinton’s Cloak of Inevitability
Every Republican debate appears consequential because of the large number of candidates, the changing cast of characters on stage, and the clashes among controversial colorful contenders on hot-button topics. The same cannot be said on the Democratic side. There just isn’t much drama left in the Democrats’ search for a […] Read more »
The Specter of … Normalcy
Few would argue with the premise that, in the five months since June, presidential politics have behaved in extraordinary ways. The “Feel The Bern” surge of Bernie Sanders on the left and the rise of Donald Trump and, more recently, Ben Carson on the right—none of these were developments that […] Read more »
American Values Survey: The presidential election
At this point in the GOP primary race, Ben Carson leads his opponents with more than one in four (27%) likely Republican primary voters expressing support for his candidacy. One in five (20%) likely primary voters say they would prefer Donald Trump to emerge as the party’s presidential candidate. … […] Read more »
In Presidential Campaign, It’s Now Terrorism, Not Taxes
… The assault on Paris has thrust national security to the heart of the presidential race, forcing candidates to scramble and possibly prompting voters to reconsider their flirtations with unconventional candidates and to take a more sober measure of who is prepared to serve as commander in chief. Until now, […] Read more »
CBS/GfK online poll: Who won the second Democratic debate?
Immediately after Saturday night’s Democratic debate, CBS News interviewed a nationally representative sample of debate watchers assembled by GfK’s Knowledge Panel who identified themselves as Democrats or independents. By a 23 point margin, these debate watchers say Hillary Clinton won the debate. CONT. CBS News Read more »