After a razor-thin victory in the Iowa caucuses, and a double-digit loss to Bernie Sanders in the New Hampshire primary, Hillary Clinton is looking to South Carolina for a big win later this month. And she’s counting on strong black support in that state to give her a definitive victory. […] Read more »
Three of the Missing Storylines from Iowa and New Hampshire
There are just some basic things that have really struck me that do not seem to be getting a lot of attention. The tables below talk about turnout and have an observation about 18 to 29 year old voters. CONT. Bill McInturff, Public Opinion Strategies Read more »
Charlie Cook on the New Hampshire Primary
… Cruz has locked up the conservative lane and Trump has the populist; the establishment/conventional wing of the GOP remains badly splintered. Rubio had a chance to break away from the pack in New Hampshire, but blew it with his performance in the last debate. … Apparently Clinton is about […] Read more »
What the Sanders Coalition Needs to Carry Over Into Other States
… Mr. Sanders’s strength among white working-class voters is important because it gives him a chance to overcome the challenge past progressive candidates faced: Well-educated white liberals, the sort who supported same-sex marriage before it was popular nationally, simply don’t represent a large enough share of the electorate to win […] Read more »
New Hampshire Takeaways: Trust, Experience and Message Count
More than half a million voters cast ballots in the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday, rewarding Donald J. Trump and Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont with resounding victories, and sending some candidates home to rethink their campaigns. But the results also tell much about the electorate and the challenges the […] Read more »
The Democrats: Bernie’s Blowout
That Bernie Sanders won New Hampshire was not a surprise. That he won by so much is. It’s a tremendous shot in the arm for his campaign and a jarring setback for Hillary Clinton. Keep this in mind: While we and many others have been suggesting for months that Clinton […] Read more »