Trump is closer to what most Republicans believe than the ‘establishment’ candidates are

On Super Tuesday, Donald Trump continued his surprise series of wins, gaining seven out of the 11 states in play that day. In response, many are asking: Why have establishment candidates had such a hard time in this year’s Republican nomination contest? … To investigate, we have teamed up with […] Read more »

Trump’s Popularity in Context

Donald Trump is broadly unpopular with national adults, more so than any other major candidate of either party. Over the past week (Feb. 26-March 3), Trump was seen favorably by 30% of the country, while twice as many U.S. adults saw the GOP front-runner unfavorably (63%). But none of the […] Read more »

Republicans’ Emerging General-Election Problem With Hispanics

No matter who clinches the Republican presidential nomination, Donald Trump has effectively built a wall compromising the Republican Party’s ability to reach Hispanics. … Donald Trump has proudly reminded audiences during debates and rallies that immigration would not be discussed so much if not for him, but the GOP might […] Read more »

Clinton wins by easing Democratic split; Trump wins by exploiting GOP divisions

… Trump has harnessed and maintained support from an angry GOP electorate, cleaving a party that has rumbled with discontent for years after successive presidential losses. His sweeping victories over opposition from much of the party’s nominal leaders have been both an extension and an exaggeration of the tea party […] Read more »