Hillary Clinton has expanded her already large lead over Donald Trump in California, plowing ahead by 30 percentage points in a head-to-head matchup, according to a new Field Poll. CONT. David Siders, Sacramento Bee Read more »
Exit Polls, and Why the Primary Was Not Stolen From Bernie Sanders
The background music of my life is the steady drumbeat of tweets about how Hillary Clinton stole the presidential primary from Bernie Sanders. … The allegations are remarkably consistent. They go like this: Mr. Sanders did better in the early exit polls than he did in the final result. Therefore, […] Read more »
Trump, Clinton Less Popular Than NRA, Planned Parenthood
A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows that both the Democratic and Republican parties, as well as both parties’ presumptive presidential nominees, continue to be significantly unpopular with voters even as some of the country’s more controversial institutions are above water. CONT. Carrie Dann, NBC News Read more »
Donald Trump’s bad month just got worse, because Sanders backers just rallied to Clinton
Donald Trump would like for Bernie Sanders supporters to ditch the Democratic Party and support him. There is very little evidence that they will do that, mind you, but it’s certainly possible that they might just stay home — which would help Trump. Well, we have some bad news for […] Read more »
No, disgruntled primary losers won’t vote for the other party in November
… Some scholars say hotly contested primaries encourage voters to support the final candidate in a general election; others say that bitter partisans may support alternative candidates. To explore this question, we looked at vote choice in the 2008 presidential election, which, as is true in 2016, had no incumbent […] Read more »
How Immigration and Concerns about Cultural Change are Shaping the 2016 Election
… Americans remain firmly committed to an immigration policy that would allow illegal immigrants a way to become citizens, compared to other policy options. More than six in ten (61%) Americans say immigrants living in the U.S. illegally should be allowed a way to become citizens, provided they meet certain […] Read more »