An 8-point jump in support for California Sen. Kamala Harris stands out in a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS that shows a field of four in double digits in the race for the Democratic nomination for president. Former Vice President Joe Biden (28%) and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (20%) […] Read more »
N.C. voters favor Biden, Sanders over other 2020 presidential contenders
The field of Democratic and independent contenders for the presidency is becoming increasingly crowded as voters look ahead to the first presidential primary next year. At the same time, North Carolina is poised to retain its status as a battleground state, with Charlotte preparing to host the Republican National Convention […] Read more »
No 2020 Democrat Has a Monopoly on Younger Voters
Beto O’Rourke’s announcement Thursday that he’s seeking the presidency will compound a demographic mismatch that could powerfully shape the outcome of the 2020 Democratic race. … Even in a rapidly diversifying party, it’s virtually certain that most Democratic primary voters next year will be older than 45. Yet most of […] Read more »
Joe Biden’s And Bernie Sanders’s Support Isn’t Just About Name Recognition
If you’re a longtime reader of FiveThirtyEight, you’ll know that the early stage of the presidential primary process is a tricky one for us to cover. It’s tempting to put a lot of emphasis on shiny objects with numbers attached — polls, endorsement counts, fundraising totals — especially given our […] Read more »
Name recognition is key and four other takeaways from our Iowa poll
The latest CNN/Des Moines Register/MediaCom 2020 Iowa poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden continuing to lead the pack with 27% and Sen. Bernie Sanders close behind with 25%. Sanders is up from our last poll, though the relative order remains the same. No other candidate reaches double-digits. But beyond […] Read more »
There are about as many Sanders-to-Sanders Democrats as Clinton-to-Biden ones
… There was a poll released Monday by Monmouth University that looked at national views of the declared and possible 2020 candidates including, in this roiling pool of pols, several candidates who’ve recently decided against running. … One big takeaway from this poll is that Sanders saw a big jump […] Read more »