How Do Primary Voters See the Candidates

By now, everyone has an opinion on who “won” and “lost” 1) the summer; 2) the last debate and 3) the momentum to win the party nomination. What’s more important is to see how actual voters perceive this race. The latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll – the gold standard of […] Read more »

Divisions Mark Trump’s Popularity; Bases Are Broader for Carson, Fiorina

A growing gender gap, sharp racial polarization and a less-educated base of support all pose potential limits on Donald Trump’s popularity – challenges largely avoided by Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina, the two lesser-known figures in the triumvirate of non-traditional GOP contenders. CONT. Gary Langer & Gregory Holyk, ABC News Read more »

Does Voter Anger Explain the Success of Presidential Outsiders?

Those of us who report on and analyze politics for a living have been talking ad nauseam about voters’ frustration and anger. It’s the hot topic that presumably explains Donald Trump, Ben Carson and Bernard Sanders, as well as the problems that political veterans such as Hillary Rodham Clinton and […] Read more »

State of election markets: 408 Days

The previous week was punctuated by Scott Walker dropping out of the race for the GOP nomination on Monday, September 21 and Marco Rubio taking up all of his likelihood for victory (and some). The key date is Wednesday, September 16, which was the second presidential debate for the GOP. […] Read more »