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Some candidates do better than the polls and others worse. We break it down.

Pre-election polls are more important this primary election cycle than ever before. Last week, Michael Bloomberg was given a place on the debate stage in Las Vegas because of his rising support in pre-election polls. Polls provide more than just interesting talking points — they can have direct consequences for […] Read more »

Why Trump is gloating about Nevada

Bernie Sanders is for real, his opposition is fractured, and President Trump is delighted to play the Democrats against one another. … A key test for Sanders will come on Super Tuesday in Texas, where Latinos rejected him in 2016 for Clinton. But here is the dilemma for the divided […] Read more »

Battleground states poll

In February, The Elections Research Center conducted surveys in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin that asked voting-age citizens which presidential candidate they plan to vote for in the primary and general elections. … The survey reveals that Senator Bernie Sanders is the leading candidate in the primary contest with a sizable […] Read more »

CBS News/YouGov poll: Most voters expect Trump will be reelected

Whether or not they’re voting for him, 65% of registered voters nationwide think President Trump will definitely or probably be reelected, including more than a third of Democrats who think so. Republicans are especially optimistic: more than nine in 10 expect him to win. CONT. Fred Backus, CBS News Read more »

CBS News/YouGov poll: In South Carolina, Biden’s lead narrows, with Sanders and Steyer on his heels

The contest in South Carolina looks very different heading into its final week than it did last fall. Joe Biden (28%) has only a single-digit lead with Bernie Sanders (23%) now right behind him. The race has narrowed considerably since the fall, when Biden led the field by a whopping […] Read more »