Over the course of this election cycle so far, 25 major presidential candidates — by FiveThirtyEight’s definition — have entered the race for the Democratic nomination. That gobsmacking number sparked criticism that there were perverse incentives to run for president even if a candidate plainly had no shot at winning […] Read more »
Warren Leads Tight Iowa Race as Biden Fades, Poll Finds
The top Democratic presidential candidates are locked in a close race in the 2020 Iowa caucuses, with Senator Elizabeth Warren slightly ahead of Senator Bernie Sanders, Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Ind., and former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., according to a New York Times/Siena College poll of […] Read more »
O-Hi-O?
This week, we recap the latest CNN/NYT Democratic primary debate, discuss if Ohio is still a bellwether state, and take a look at the LGBTQ community’s growing influence within the American electorate. The Forecast Fest, CNN Read more »
Elizabeth Warren Gets A Turn In The Hot Seat
All three of the top-polling candidates in the Democratic Primary faced key questions going into the fourth debate Tuesday night: How would Sen. Elizabeth Warren handle the pressure that comes along with being a newly minted front-runner? How would former Vice President Joe Biden respond to President Trump’s attacks on […] Read more »
Warren’s charmed campaign just entered a brutal new phase
Elizabeth Warren has enjoyed many of the trappings of a front-runner: the polling lead in Iowa and New Hampshire, a near-tie with Joe Biden nationally, explosive fundraising, big crowds. The only thing missing was the scrutiny and sniping from competitors that normally accompanies the rise of a new primary leader. […] Read more »
Tuesday’s Democratic debate could be make or break for these four candidates
Tuesday night’s CNN/The New York Times debate stage will feature a record 12 candidates. It could be the last debate appearance for up to 33% of them. Former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro, Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar and former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke are […] Read more »