New Hampshire primary exit poll: Who supported Sanders, Buttigieg and Klobuchar

The New Hampshire Democratic primary brought to the surface various issues that divided voters — frequently pitting Bernie Sanders on one side against Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar on the other. … Exit polls show Democratic primary voters prioritized beating President Trump over having a candidate who agrees with them […] Read more »

What do the results of the 2020 New Hampshire primary mean?

Against the backdrop of muddled results from the botched Iowa caucuses, New Hampshire’s first-in-the-nation primary, always an important bellwether, has done what Iowa failed to do: bring some clarity to the Democratic race. The three winners last night, Senator Bernie Sanders, Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Senator Amy Klobuchar, together accounted […] Read more »

Candidates say they want to build momentum with voters – but what is that actually worth?

Before the primary, Buttigieg said his campaign had the ‘strongest momentum.’ AP Photo/Mary Altaffer Daniel Palazzolo, University of Richmond and Ernest B. McGowen III, University of Richmond “I’ve got the ‘Big Mo,’” said George H. Bush after winning the Iowa caucuses in 1980. “We are the campaign with the strongest […] Read more »

New Hampshire Primary Review: Bernie’s Biggest Win Wasn’t His First-Place Finish

Bernie Sanders’s performance in Tuesday night’s New Hampshire primary isn’t likely to impress the news media much. Sanders won New Hampshire for the second straight election, but he received less than half of his 2016 vote share (26 percent, as of this writing, compared to 60 percent last time) and […] Read more »

Strong liberals lift Sanders, Buttigieg keeps a broad base as NH centrists bring Klobuchar into contention

Older and more educated voters, moderates, and those looking for a candidate to unite the country lifted Amy Klobuchar to competitive status in the New Hampshire Democratic primary, largely at Joe Biden’s expense, as Bernie Sanders held on to younger and very liberal voters, and as in last week’s Iowa […] Read more »

28 Scenarios For What Things Could Look Like After New Hampshire

After an extremely confusing week in the Democratic presidential primary, I have some bad news: New Hampshire might not resolve as much as you think. That’s for two reasons. First, our study of past primaries finds that the bounces that result from New Hampshire are only about half as large […] Read more »