Vermont Sen. and Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders has had a good summer on the campaign trail. He’s drawing huge crowds at events across the country and a recent New Hampshire primary poll found him leading Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton in the Granite State. But the numbers suggest there are […] Read more »
Hillary Clinton’s Inevitable Problems
… The campaign press more or less openly confesses to a certain type of bias: rooting for the story. Inevitability makes for a really boring story, especially when it involves a figure like Clinton who has been in public life for so long. Instead, the media wants campaigns with lots […] Read more »
Is Hillary Clinton Really in Danger of Losing the Primary?
Bernie Sanders is said to be surging, Joe Biden is considering jumping in the race, and Hillary Rodham Clinton’s unfavorable ratings are the worst they’ve been in her 23-plus years in national politics — lower than they were in 2007 or 2008. Whether you call it wishful thinking or a […] Read more »
Clinton scandals may have defeated one presidential candidate. Could they do it again?
With Hillary Rodham Clinton’s questionable e-mail practices in the news, many people have asked whether it will matter for the 2016 election. And the most typical answer is that it won’t matter much, if at all. … Larry Sabato writes that if you examine presidential elections since 1900 “you’ll find […] Read more »
Clinton Favorability Among Dems Better Than Last Campaign
Hillary Clinton’s net favorability rating among Democrats — defined as the percentage who have a favorable opinion of her minus the percentage with an unfavorable opinion — is higher now than at a similar point leading up to the 2008 presidential election. Her net favorability is also similar to Al […] Read more »
Imagining 2016 Without Hillary Clinton
We’re on record here at The Upshot as believing that Hillary Clinton is in an extremely strong position to win the Democratic nomination. … But what if the unlikely happens, and she is forced to abandon her planned presidential campaign because of a development we can’t now anticipate? In that […] Read more »