White evangelicals think Trump is divinely ordained. He’ll do almost anything to keep it that way

Donald Trump’s reelection chances are quite dim without the robust support of his white evangelical base. His electoral college win in 2016 was fueled by white evangelical turnout and the overwhelming number of white evangelicals — 81% — who pulled the lever for him. He cannot afford for the religious […] Read more »

Democrats More Trusted on Coronavirus Response

This edition of our daily tracking release features findings from a national online survey of 1,010 registered voters conducted May 11-May 14, 2020. • As Trump’s ratings hit new lows, Democrats in Congress are more trusted than Trump on handling the coronavirus response.• Americans are concerned that Republicans in Congress […] Read more »

Trump narrowly leads Biden in presidential race in Texas

Donald Trump would beat Joe Biden 49%-44% in Texas if the presidential race were held now, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. In the Trump-Biden contest, Democratic and Republican voters overwhelmingly back their own party’s candidate. But independent voters are on the fence, with 39% favoring Trump, […] Read more »

The Public Opinion Context for Trump’s Reelection Bid

Political observers most frequently focus on presidential job approval and “horse race” questions to estimate the probability of an incumbent president’s getting reelected. But there is a broader context that forms the backdrop of incumbent reelection campaigns — what Americans are thinking and feeling about the world in general. At […] Read more »