Key Points• North Carolina’s open-seat race is clearly the marquee contest of 2024’s gubernatorial races. It starts as a Toss-up.• The other contests start with clear favorites despite several open seats.• If popular Republican incumbents run for another term, the GOP should be in great shape to hold New Hampshire […] Read more »
DeSantis Neck-and-Neck with Trump in Republican 2024 Presidential Matchup
A new national University of Massachusetts Amherst Poll has found Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis running neck-and-neck with former President Donald Trump in a potential head-to-head matchup for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination. In a one-on-one matchup, DeSantis edges Trump among Republicans in the new national poll, 51-49, which is within […] Read more »
The GOP may regret McCarthy’s concessions in 2024
One of Kevin McCarthy’s first acts as speaker of the House was to take a selfie with Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, the far-right conspiracy theorist and election denier who has emerged as one of his staunchest allies. That image, which Greene immediately posted on social media, encapsulates the wager McCarthy […] Read more »
Joe Biden is gaining ground. But Democrats want someone else in 2024.
President Biden notched significant victories in 2022: He signed deals on climate change, infrastructure and gun control, and Democrats expanded their Senate majority in the midterm elections. But despite these accomplishments, only 47 percent of Democrats want him to seek a second term. Biden’s numbers are trending upwards: In November […] Read more »
McCarthy speaker saga shows Trump is far from untouchable ahead of 2024
Kevin McCarthy’s seven-year-plus dream to become House speaker finally became reality early Saturday morning. The California Republican’s tumultuous journey concluded after six Republican holdouts voted “present,” allowing him to win on the 15th ballot with a lower majority threshold. McCarthy credited Donald Trump for his support in the speaker’s race, […] Read more »
Yes, it’s too early to focus on 2024 polling
Once upon a time, in this very same land we still inhabit, midterm election cycles ended and odd-numbered years were free from national campaigns and horse-race speculation. We could spend these off-cycle years discussing issues and policies and the handful of off-year state gubernatorial contests, free from all but the […] Read more »