A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds 53% of those polled say they heard or read a lot about the election of a new Speaker of the House of Representatives, while 29% say they heard a little and 18% heard nothing at all. … Among all respondents, 41% […] Read more »
Initial Senate Ratings: Democrats Have a Lot of Defending to Do
Key Points• We are rolling out our first ratings of the 2024 Senate map.• Democrats are playing much more defense than Republicans.• Of the current Democratic seats, West Virginia starts as the clearest Republican takeover opportunity, with Arizona, Montana, and Ohio as Toss-ups.• The 11 current Republican seats all start […] Read more »
The redistricting wars aren’t over and that could tip control of the House
The battle for control of the House of Representatives increasingly resembles a sporting event in which the teams are changing the dimensions of the playing field even after the game is underway. As many as a dozen or more states could redraw the lines governing their congressional elections again before […] Read more »
Abortion Pills Will Be the Next Battle in the 2024 Election
The next front is rapidly emerging in the struggle between supporters and opponents of legal abortion, and that escalating conflict is increasing the chances that the issue will shape the 2024 election as it did last November’s midterm contest. President Joe Biden triggered the new confrontation with a flurry of […] Read more »
Trump and His Allegedly Disloyal White Evangelical Supporters
In a recent interview, David Brody of the Christian Broadcasting Network asked former president Donald Trump what he thought about the reticence of some white evangelical Protestant leaders, such as Southern Baptist megachurch pastor Robert Jeffress, to endorse his candidacy for president in 2024. Trump caused quite a stir by […] Read more »
Republican voters think DeSantis would be more likely to beat Biden, but prefer Trump
Republican voters think that Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has a slight edge over former President Donald Trump in a hypothetical election match-up against President Joe Biden, according to new polling by the Economist/YouGov. In a Trump vs. Biden match-up, registered voters give Biden a 4 percentage-point lead: 42% of registered […] Read more »