If former President Trump is to be believed, his indictment and arrest are imminent on charges related to paying off adult-film actress Stormy Daniels. We don’t know how an indictment might impact Trump’s electoral chances, but looking at how Republicans reacted to Trump’s stolen-election claims and his role in the […] Read more »
Trump Gains on Desantis
Former President Donald Trump now holds an advantage over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis as Republican voters’ preference for the party’s 2024 nomination. The Monmouth University Poll shows Trump has made gains among nearly every voting bloc since the start of the year and is especially popular among strong MAGA supporters. […] Read more »
Attacks on Manhattan investigation show GOP still can’t break from Trump
Amid all the other uncertainties surrounding the possible indictment of Donald Trump, the flurry of events has made one thing unequivocally clear: the former president remains the center of the GOP universe. The rush of GOP leaders to preemptively condemn Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s potential indictment of Trump as […] Read more »
Republicans’ views of the US have become more pessimistic, polling shows
Heading into the next presidential election, an analysis of CNN polls shows that Republicans have reverted to the deeply negative national outlook they held prior to Donald Trump’s presidential victory in 2016. They again are convinced the nation is in decline, and more often defensive against demographic and cultural changes […] Read more »
Voters of color are a big reason Trump leads the GOP primary
Former President Donald Trump holds an average double-digit advantage over Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in national 2024 Republican primary surveys. That, in itself, isn’t notable given Trump, the frontrunner, has been ahead of DeSantis (by far his nearest competitor or potential competitor) since polling began about the race. But what […] Read more »
How the ‘No Labels’ Gambit Could Wreck the 2024 Election
Those politics watchers—including most journalists—who are envisioning the 2024 presidential election as a contest between a Democrat (presumably President Joe Biden) and a Republican (perhaps former President Donald Trump) are missing a big part of the story. Last week brought the warning flash of a significant storm brewing for the […] Read more »