In the days immediately following a federal indictment against Donald Trump related to his handling of classified documents, a new ABC News/Ipsos poll finds that three in five Americans view these charges as serious. This represents a shift from the perceived level of severity in April, where about half viewed […] Read more »
After Trump indictment, most see security risk, but Republicans see politics
Republican primary voters say they’re far more concerned that Donald Trump’s indictment is politically motivated than his alleged conduct being a national security risk – and there’s no evidence it’s hurt his status as the clear front-runner for the 2024 nomination, at least not yet. He remains well ahead of […] Read more »
The indictment, the primaries, and 2024
Donald Trump added to his long list of firsts Thursday, becoming the first former president to face federal criminal charges, relating to his alleged unlawful possession of classified documents. With the GOP primaries heating up and more challengers jumping in the race, we will see how this new indictment plays […] Read more »
The Emerging Anti-MAGA Majority
In 2016, Trump shocked the world by tearing down the “Blue Wall” states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Quickly, a new consensus congealed around the idea that despite having lost the national popular vote, and only barely having won the Electoral College, Trump had improved Republicans’ fortunes for the foreseeable […] Read more »
Is Gen Z Coming for the GOP?
Gen Z is poised to massively expand its influence in the 2024 election. But its impact may be more complex than typically assumed. As many as 7 million to 9 million more members of the racially and culturally diverse Gen Z could cast ballots in 2024 than did in 2020, […] Read more »
How one DeSantis speech captured the dynamic that could decide 2024
When Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis delivered his initial speech as a declared presidential candidate in Iowa last week, his first 15 minutes succinctly previewed how Republicans might defeat President Joe Biden next year. The next 30 minutes of DeSantis’ speech then demonstrated how Biden might survive despite all the doubts […] Read more »