Former Vice President Joe Biden holds an 11-point lead over President Donald Trump one week before the election, but the CNBC All-America Economic Survey shows the race could tighten. Biden leads Trump by 51% to 40%, a 2-point increase from the June poll and 6 points better than in April. […] Read more »
Trump Wants to Pick Off Nevada. But Biden Is Holding a Lead, Our Poll Shows.
Joseph R. Biden Jr. has a steady lead over President Trump in Nevada, a state that has been shading blue in recent elections but that Mr. Trump is hoping to flip, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll released on Tuesday. … With just a week until Election Day […] Read more »
The polls could be wrong. But that may help Biden, not just Trump.
As Election Day approaches and President Donald Trump continues to trail Joe Biden by high single digits both nationally and in key states, their respective bases are buzzing with either hope or dread that “the polls could be wrong again.” In truth, public opinion polls are imperfect instruments, and there’s […] Read more »
Ballot Measures: A National Rundown for 2020
Key Points• Quietly, 2020 is proving to be a major year for ballot measures, with 120 on statewide ballots. In this article, we’ll look at 70 with the potential to have a significant policy impact.• Some of the most numerous this year are related to elections and voting. They include […] Read more »
Final Forecast: Results from Two Methods of Predicting the 2020 Presidential Election
Key Points• A presidential election forecasting model based on the president’s approval rating, first published at the Crystal Ball in early August, continues to show Joe Biden as a favorite in next week’s presidential election.• An average of current state-level polling produces a very similar Electoral College projection.• These forecasting […] Read more »
With Weakness Among Hispanic Voters, Biden Trails in Texas
President Trump maintains a narrow lead in Texas, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll on Monday, as he faces a rebellion in the state’s once overwhelmingly Republican suburbs but survives with support from an unlikely ally, Hispanic voters. … A Democratic win in Texas would be an epochal […] Read more »