… Donald Trump improved in some gauges. Well fewer than half of voters, 44%, said he has the temperament to serve effectively as president – but that was up from 35% four years ago. And while 53% saw him unfavorably, that was down from 59% in 2016. At the same […] Read more »
Fox News Made a Big Call in Arizona, Buoying Biden and Angering Trump
It was just after 12:30 a.m. on election night, and Fox News was under fire. “Arnon, we’re getting a lot of incoming here, and we need you to answer some questions,” the network’s chief political anchor, Bret Baier, said pointedly. “Shoot!” Arnon Mishkin replied, his face breaking into a smile. […] Read more »
AP VoteCast: Voters split on virus, economy, even football
As they chose a leader in a time of turmoil, supporters of President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden found little common ground on the top crises facing the nation. The divide between Republican and Democratic America cut across the economy, public health and racial justice, according to […] Read more »
A Q&A with a historian of presidential polls
Voters wait to cast their ballots Tuesday at Johnston Elementary School in the Wilkinsburg neighborhood of Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Jeff Swensen/Getty Images W. Joseph Campbell, American University School of Communication “Epic miscalls and landslides unforeseen: The exceptional catalog of polling failure” is the headline on one of scholar W. Joseph Campbell’s […] Read more »
What We’ll Know, and When We’ll Know
This year, the rise of mail voting will make election night much harder to follow. In most states, the results will be heavily skewed at various points of the night, depending on when a state counts mail ballots, in-person early voting or Election Day voting. In other words, the results […] Read more »
12 contests to watch closely on Tuesday night
It’s Election Day in America, and there are actually 56 separate presidential elections taking place: The 50 states, Washington, DC, and individual congressional districts in Maine and Nebraska. So what should you be on the lookout for to know who is winning the election? Here is what I will be […] Read more »