U.S. voters went to the polls starkly divided on how they see President Donald Trump’s response to the coronavirus pandemic, with a surprising twist: In places where the virus is most rampant now, Trump enjoyed enormous support. An Associated Press analysis reveals that in 376 counties with the highest number […] Read more »
DCCC chairwoman Cheri Bustos ‘furious’ at polling misses
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairwoman Cheri Bustos told House Democrats on a Thursday caucus call that she was “furious” about polls that misread the political environment, as the party suffered unexpected losses in the House. “I also want to say the thing we’re all feeling: I’m furious. Something went wrong […] Read more »
A Brief History of Georgia Runoffs, and Why This Time May Be Different
With President Donald Trump’s initial lead dissipating in Georgia, GOP Sen. David Perdue looks increasingly likely to be forced into a January runoff against Democrat Jon Ossoff. Perdue’s share of the vote is close to dipping below 50 percent, which would trigger Georgia’s unique runoff law. … If Perdue finishes […] Read more »
Another Black Eye For Polling Industry, Media That Rely On It
Nearly all election polls forecasted a blue wave. But when that failed to materialize, pollsters looked foolish — and the news organizations they partner with lost credibility too. David Folkenflik, NPR News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign […] Read more »
Exit Polls Point to the Power of White Patriarchy
… A larger percentage of every racial minority voted for Trump this year than in 2016. Among Blacks and Hispanics, this percentage grew among both men and women, although men were more likely to vote for Trump than women. Among Hispanics, the movements by sex were marginal and have held […] Read more »
Bad polls, fake news, and that damned needle: Here’s how the media covered a twisty Election Night
That was quite a ride, wasn’t it? Or, rather, this election is quite a ride, given that it’s still going on. The quadrennial media rituals — “too early to call,” a sudden awareness of the nation’s counties, Steve Kornacki — all returned for the 2020 presidential election. As of Wednesday […] Read more »