How Biden won: Three key voter groups in 2020

Any election victory can be seen from a variety of angles — marginal gains here, voter flips there — but the story of Joe Biden’s 2020 win, and his narrow recapturing of the northern Democratic “blue wall” states, might be best explained by vote boosts with three groups: younger voters, […] Read more »

Why Donald Trump lost

Let the 2020 election bury the mistaken notion once and for all that the 2016 election was a historical accident, an American aberration. Donald Trump won more than 70 million votes, the second highest total in American history. Nationally, he has more than a 47% share of his vote, and […] Read more »

How Trump’s erratic behavior and failure on coronavirus doomed his reelection

… The story of Biden’s victory is as much the story of Trump’s defeat — a devastating coda for a leader who has long feared weakness and losing above almost all else, but who became the first one-term president in nearly 30 years. Trump was the most unpopular president of […] Read more »

Trump’s political legacy: Never having the support or approval of a majority of Americans or voters

… He became president in 2016 despite losing the popular vote by a wide margin, flipping three states by a combined total of fewer than 78,000 votes. He was never viewed favorably by most Americans, and most Americans never approved of his performance as president. When it came time to […] Read more »